Re: New Lancia models
Posted: 18 Feb 2004, 13:22
Unfortunately I have some rather bad news.
Forget Lancia making right-hand drive any time soon. The plans have definitely been scrapped. Until recently there was a proposal to import LHD Ypsilons into the UK in tiny numbers through a couple of dealers in the south of the UK, but nothing was decided and it would not surprise me if this plan has been scrapped. Bit of a mistake on my part. The press seized on the comments that "Lancia would return to markets it had vacated", but this in fact turned out to refer to market segments, not regional markets.
The European dealer network is a huge problem. It is in a horrific state - at last count there were less than a dozen Lancia dealers left in Spain - and it is a priority to sort it out. Despite this prioritisation, however, it is going to take between 5-10 years. That should give you an idea of how bad it is. It's not just the lack of dealers - it is widely acknowledged that the servicing aspect in particular is poor, the attitude ditto, and overall nowhere near the levels of Mercedes or Lexus, which is where it needs to be.
The prognosis is, to be frank, not at all promising. The new Stratos, Delta, Medea and Integrale have all either been scrapped or put on hold indefinitely. This is the result of a recent 'product review' under Herbert Demel (Fiat Auto's new CEO). A big problem is that Demel is not keen on the Lancia nameplate, and has made discouraging comments. A hot Ypsilon HF (using a 105bhp 1.3 Multijet and probably the 110bhp 1.4 FIRE from the Panda Abarth, plus slightly upgraded suspension) was on the cards, and the bodykitted car shown at the Bologna Motor Show pointed the way to probable appearance, but I haven't heard anything and it's possible that's been scrapped too. If it hasn't, expect to see something at Geneva.
Incidentally, don't expect that any new engines or floorplans will be developed specifically for Lancia. They will only follow Fiat and Alfa in this area. Currently, for example, the only Lancia motor not used by any other marque is the 2.0 litre in-line five, in normally-aspirated form in the Lybra (150bhp) and blown in the Thesis (185bhp). If the new Delta ever gets resurrected, the four-wheel drive system which Alfa has developed will possibly be used (my guess), and the 2-litre five from the old Fiat Coupe Turbo (same engine, but higher level of tune - similar to that used by the Kappa 2.0 20V Turbo, actually) has been mooted.
In better news, there is still a small possibility the new Fulvia will be built - Fiat is in talks with Bertone and Zagato, amongst others, to put the car into small-scale production, like Alfa's Spider. The biggest problem is that it's built on the Barchetta, and it really needs a newer floorplan as it's based on the first-generation Punto which was launched in 1993. It's not a bad floorplan but not really desirable for a car which is supposed to be launched more than 10 years later. Lancia will also launch the new Musa at Geneva, a Lancia-ised version of the Fiat Idea. It has front and rear ends very similar to the Ypsilon, and will run the 1.3 and 1.9 Multijet and 1.4 FIRE engines, and actually doesn't look bad for what it is, but the question still remains about how big the market is for an upmarket version of such a car.
The biggest problem is that the picture is changing all the time and it's very difficult to pin anything concrete down. Until Fiat starts to sell big numbers of the Panda/Idea/Punto facelift and Stilo, nothing is going to be decided. Despite being an excellent car, the Thesis sells in tiny numbers and Lancia cops a huge loss on each one sold. For some reason, it just hasn't caught on with the Italian car buying public. In rather better news, the new Ypsilon has racked up about 60,000 orders and will be enhanced by a new gearbox option released in Geneva.
My thoughts on the future of the marque are posted here. I've learnt some of the info I've posted in here is incorrect, so if in doubt just go with the bleaker option:
http://www.viva-lancia.com/lancia_fora/ ... =377&t=308
On the Alfa sell-off, VAG are said to be keen on Alfa, though this enthusiasm might have cooled somewhat given that the new Golf (big profit generator) has been selling relatively poorly. VAG have positioned Seat against Alfa, but without much success, and they have the cash to buy Alfa. The other option is that suggested by Luca Montezemolo, who is keen to spin Alfa into the Ferrari-Maserati Group & create a prestige brands setup, leaving the way clear for Lancia to take over Alfa's territory and become what it was in the seventies again, pitched at achieving sporting elegance. Incidentally, VW are also keen on buying Ferrari and Maserati, as a sportscar group of Lamborghini/Bugatti/Bentley/Alfa/Ferrari/Maserati appeals to them and would obviously be unrivalled. Mind you, I just can't see that happening, although Maserati being flogged is a possibility - they have been getting increasingly close in terms of engine and floorplan technology.
The new Fiat Trepiuno concept (modern recreation of the 500, will be unveiled at Geneva) worries me. In truth, the only thing keeping Lancia alive for at least five years has been the Ypsilon. It's consistently the third best-selling car in Italy and garners useful revenues, primarily from young, fashion-conscious city girls. Think successful competitor to the new Mini. The new Trepiuno is mooted for production in 2006 with a similar engine lineup to the Punto, same platform, about the same size. So why have both? Because the Trepiuno will be the option for the young, fashion-conscious city girls - think Mini competitor. I think you can see where this is going. Because it will steal sales from the Ypsilon, Fiat will lose its last reason to keep the marque alive. In other words, pray, by hook or by crook, for Alfa to move out of its current market slot.
I really wish I could give you better news than that, but I'd be lying. I'm off to hammer out an email to Fiat's press department to see if there's any truth in the rumour that Lancia is actually under threat of being killed off, and I'll see what response comes back.
Forget Lancia making right-hand drive any time soon. The plans have definitely been scrapped. Until recently there was a proposal to import LHD Ypsilons into the UK in tiny numbers through a couple of dealers in the south of the UK, but nothing was decided and it would not surprise me if this plan has been scrapped. Bit of a mistake on my part. The press seized on the comments that "Lancia would return to markets it had vacated", but this in fact turned out to refer to market segments, not regional markets.
The European dealer network is a huge problem. It is in a horrific state - at last count there were less than a dozen Lancia dealers left in Spain - and it is a priority to sort it out. Despite this prioritisation, however, it is going to take between 5-10 years. That should give you an idea of how bad it is. It's not just the lack of dealers - it is widely acknowledged that the servicing aspect in particular is poor, the attitude ditto, and overall nowhere near the levels of Mercedes or Lexus, which is where it needs to be.
The prognosis is, to be frank, not at all promising. The new Stratos, Delta, Medea and Integrale have all either been scrapped or put on hold indefinitely. This is the result of a recent 'product review' under Herbert Demel (Fiat Auto's new CEO). A big problem is that Demel is not keen on the Lancia nameplate, and has made discouraging comments. A hot Ypsilon HF (using a 105bhp 1.3 Multijet and probably the 110bhp 1.4 FIRE from the Panda Abarth, plus slightly upgraded suspension) was on the cards, and the bodykitted car shown at the Bologna Motor Show pointed the way to probable appearance, but I haven't heard anything and it's possible that's been scrapped too. If it hasn't, expect to see something at Geneva.
Incidentally, don't expect that any new engines or floorplans will be developed specifically for Lancia. They will only follow Fiat and Alfa in this area. Currently, for example, the only Lancia motor not used by any other marque is the 2.0 litre in-line five, in normally-aspirated form in the Lybra (150bhp) and blown in the Thesis (185bhp). If the new Delta ever gets resurrected, the four-wheel drive system which Alfa has developed will possibly be used (my guess), and the 2-litre five from the old Fiat Coupe Turbo (same engine, but higher level of tune - similar to that used by the Kappa 2.0 20V Turbo, actually) has been mooted.
In better news, there is still a small possibility the new Fulvia will be built - Fiat is in talks with Bertone and Zagato, amongst others, to put the car into small-scale production, like Alfa's Spider. The biggest problem is that it's built on the Barchetta, and it really needs a newer floorplan as it's based on the first-generation Punto which was launched in 1993. It's not a bad floorplan but not really desirable for a car which is supposed to be launched more than 10 years later. Lancia will also launch the new Musa at Geneva, a Lancia-ised version of the Fiat Idea. It has front and rear ends very similar to the Ypsilon, and will run the 1.3 and 1.9 Multijet and 1.4 FIRE engines, and actually doesn't look bad for what it is, but the question still remains about how big the market is for an upmarket version of such a car.
The biggest problem is that the picture is changing all the time and it's very difficult to pin anything concrete down. Until Fiat starts to sell big numbers of the Panda/Idea/Punto facelift and Stilo, nothing is going to be decided. Despite being an excellent car, the Thesis sells in tiny numbers and Lancia cops a huge loss on each one sold. For some reason, it just hasn't caught on with the Italian car buying public. In rather better news, the new Ypsilon has racked up about 60,000 orders and will be enhanced by a new gearbox option released in Geneva.
My thoughts on the future of the marque are posted here. I've learnt some of the info I've posted in here is incorrect, so if in doubt just go with the bleaker option:
http://www.viva-lancia.com/lancia_fora/ ... =377&t=308
On the Alfa sell-off, VAG are said to be keen on Alfa, though this enthusiasm might have cooled somewhat given that the new Golf (big profit generator) has been selling relatively poorly. VAG have positioned Seat against Alfa, but without much success, and they have the cash to buy Alfa. The other option is that suggested by Luca Montezemolo, who is keen to spin Alfa into the Ferrari-Maserati Group & create a prestige brands setup, leaving the way clear for Lancia to take over Alfa's territory and become what it was in the seventies again, pitched at achieving sporting elegance. Incidentally, VW are also keen on buying Ferrari and Maserati, as a sportscar group of Lamborghini/Bugatti/Bentley/Alfa/Ferrari/Maserati appeals to them and would obviously be unrivalled. Mind you, I just can't see that happening, although Maserati being flogged is a possibility - they have been getting increasingly close in terms of engine and floorplan technology.
The new Fiat Trepiuno concept (modern recreation of the 500, will be unveiled at Geneva) worries me. In truth, the only thing keeping Lancia alive for at least five years has been the Ypsilon. It's consistently the third best-selling car in Italy and garners useful revenues, primarily from young, fashion-conscious city girls. Think successful competitor to the new Mini. The new Trepiuno is mooted for production in 2006 with a similar engine lineup to the Punto, same platform, about the same size. So why have both? Because the Trepiuno will be the option for the young, fashion-conscious city girls - think Mini competitor. I think you can see where this is going. Because it will steal sales from the Ypsilon, Fiat will lose its last reason to keep the marque alive. In other words, pray, by hook or by crook, for Alfa to move out of its current market slot.
I really wish I could give you better news than that, but I'd be lying. I'm off to hammer out an email to Fiat's press department to see if there's any truth in the rumour that Lancia is actually under threat of being killed off, and I'll see what response comes back.